Παρασκευή 8 Μαΐου 2015

A Specialty Coffee Guide to Boise, the Gem State Capital

May 8
neckar coffee boise
Grant Shealy of Neckar Coffee. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
Snugly hunkered up against the arid western foothills of the Rockies is the lush, low-key metropolis of Boise, Idaho. Geographically remote and politically conservative, the walls of this valley tend to resist winds of change, although with each generation comes some progress.
Coffeewise, this was manifested in the 1990s through a handful of early independent shops that staked their claim prior to the Starbucks invasion, and these remain the go-to shops for Gem State capital loyalists. Today, the sprouts of another generation in coffee are unfurling in the light of the high desert sun.
It is an electrifying time for artisan gastronomy in the Treasure Valley. Crafty, Northwest-style breweries are proliferating, the Treefort Music Fest is fast becoming an annual pin on the nation’s indie music roadmap, and in just the past few years Boise has cut ribbons on its first Whole Foods and its first Trader Joe’s — all significant milestones for consumer culture here.
Brian Wight, owner of eight drive-thru Dutch Bros Coffee franchise locations in Boise, has observed “a dramatic upswing in consumerism” over the past five years. “Our volumes are up 30 to 40 percent across our stores,” Wight tells Daily Coffee News. In 23 years the Oregon-based drive-thru company has erupted into 245 locations spread out over seven states, and only four of these stores have seating. Dutch Bros’ fifth-ever — and first in Idaho — seated location is slated to open at the intersection of State and 15th near downtown this coming August — a well-researched indication as an uptick in coffee consumption here.
Boise is a well-established enclave among college football fans, retirees, Mormons, and the NRA, but it also seems like potentially fertile ground for burgeoning micro roasters. Grant Shealy, affable 26-year-old proprietor of Neckar Coffee, is just that. Shealy’s got big plans for a brick-and-mortar Neckar flagship somewhere in the downtown area within the next year or two, and the coffee business is poised to push quality forward for all of Boise.
In the meantime, the city’s solid showing of old-guard indie drink-builders and handful of inspiringly up-to-date go-getters keep the people abuzz and the local industry heading in the right direction.
Here’s a roundup of the Boise coffee scene as it stands today:

Guru Donuts – 204 N Capitol Blvd (map it)

guru boise
Guru Donuts. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
Yes, even Boise now enjoys a purveyor of rich, fluffy, yeasted vegan donuts, right alongside the maple-bacons and other inventive offerings in the downtown brick-and-mortar home of Guru Donuts, which opened in January 2015. An imaginative selection of fresh decadent square and circular sweets is available daily with coffee roasted by Hailey, Idaho-based Maps Coffee (not to be confused with the Kansas micro-roaster of the same name). “We decided to partner with Maps Coffee because they do offer a lighter, brighter roast,” manager Darryl Vickers told Daily Coffee News. “We wanted to be unique in the valley with that, and we feel it pairs well with our donuts.” Jens Peterson, son of the owners of longstanding Hailey roaster Grace Organics, is the skateboarder at the helm of Maps. Grace has been roasting for 25 years, but Maps, the boutique-style next generation, has gone from apprentice to primetime independence with Guru as its first commercial client.

Neckar Coffee – www.neckarcoffee.com

Neckar Coffee Boise
Neckar Coffee. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
Neckar‘s Diedrich IR2 lives happily behind the scenes in the Woodland Empire Ale Craft brewery space. These two businesses, along with the occasional food trucks that swing by to sling munchies to sudsy Woodland patrons, constitute an exemplary ground zero of Boise’s upward trajectory in creative sips and eats. You can find Shealy and company serving careful pourovers at the new Boise Farmer’s Market most Saturdays, as well as select streets and events around town. Within the coming months, pending requisite approvals from the city, Neckar intends to step up production to break into the metropolitan wholesale market.

The Crux – 1022 W Main St (map it)

crux coffee boise
The Crux. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
The Crux is a cavernous coffeehouse by day and a venue by night, with gritty local art on every wall and most of the square footage wide open for performances. Local and traveling bands can rock out then return the next morning for some Hair Bender, of the dog. Owner Bob Cooper fell in love with the Stumptown coffee served to him by gifted baristas at the Albina Press in Portland, Ore., the city in which he still runs a hardwood flooring business from afar. Despite all training and scrutiny he, with some dismay, recalls going through in the process of earning Stumptown’s approval, he nevertheless jumped at the opportunity to be Boise’s exclusive brewer of Stumptown, a deal he believes the company would not have made today. Four years later, he’s still pretty sure he serves the best coffee in town, and it’s hard to argue. Bob is surprised that most sales are still just grab and go, but that’s life downtown. The upside is that for those that prefer to take it slow, there’s usually plenty of room on the Crux’s several couches and sunny storefront window tables.

Flying M Coffeehouse – 500 W Idaho St (map it)

Flying M Coffee Boise
Flying M. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
The Flying M Coffeehouse is kind of like Boise’s Central Perk, only bigger and with less upholstery. Its doors first opened in 1995 and it quickly expanded from a small space into the larger space next door. Their perennial espresso blend and similarly enduring House Blend help maintain the M’s slot among shops most often recommended to visitors as either the best in town or at least better than the nationwide chains with which they would seem to compete. Also on offer is a consistent selection of single-origin coffees in whole bean form, in-house baked goods, and smoothies. Flying M’s zanily colored walls and furnishings, local art, and tchotchkes galore are rounded off with a cheeky novelty gift shop occupying a semi-cordoned corner inside the cafe. Meanwhile, behind the counter, a shiny new Nuova Simonelli Aurelia II rules, and if you squint through the towers of branded merch you may spy a WBC sticker on the back of one of their grinders. Service is speedy and friendly, the atmosphere is bustling, and the clientele is as eclectic as it gets here in Les Bois.

Dawson Taylor – 219 N 8th St (map it)

dawson taylor coffee Boise
Dawson Taylor downtown
Dawson Taylor is the earthy farm-worker-themed mosaic counterpoint to Flying M’s hypercolor alternative vibe. Both opened in 1995, both have one downtown location and second locations at their roasteries, and both do wholesale, although DT is the company more likely to knock more than once in pursuit of your business should you be setting up shop anywhere around Boise. Artsy, unassuming, and mildly granola, the DT downtown shop is on the northernmost pedestrian block of 8th Street, which is lined with posh eateries, apparel shops, and nightspots. The ample front patio seating is a hub of community chitchat, and their paralysis-inducing selection of coffees includes no fewer than eight decafs, along with single-origins and blends. Brewed behind the counter there’s a daily rotation of three regulars and one decaf, plus all manner of espresso and milk drinks. It’s fascinating to note that, like the set of a Hollywood underdog movie, directly across the narrow pedestrian street is the lone Boise location of the sleek 16-store Washington-based coffee chain Thomas Hammer. It may take a harrowing dodgeball tournament to decide which one will ultimately prevail.

Afro Phil Coffee – www.afrophil.com

Afro Phil Boise
Afro Phil, the man. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
Afro Phil is unapologetically Afro Phil. If you meet the man in any food-related context, he will probably introduce himself as Afro Phil, and, really, every town should have an Afro Phil. A West Boise nanoroaster with a driver’s license that actually reads Phil Tegethoff, Afro Phil roasts one kilo at a time on a diminutive Probatino in his home garage, surrounded by his kids’ toys and bikes. He’ll slide up the door and sell coffee right there, though he also sells online, ships through the mail, and will even deliver it locally. Afro Phil has been operating for about two years and maintains a few cafe accounts. He estimates his business is at this point roughly half retail, half wholesale, although he fell a bit behind in the wake of recent equipment snafus for which he found service and support to be painfully unresponsive. Now back in the saddle, Phil continues logging every roast in a spiral notebook and cupping obsessively throughout the day, striving for balance, consistency, and his marque “smoothness.” He also hosts occasional public cuppings in his backyard, in an effort to create a better informed and more zealous Boise coffee culture.

Java Coffee and Café – Downtown: 223 N 6th St (map it); Hyde Park: 1612 N 13th (map it)

Java downtown boise
Java Cafe downtown location. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
Java’s trademarked tagline reads “Wake Up and Live,” although as head barista and quality control tech Jude Claffey points out, their official coffee slogan is “Coffee That Rocks.” It’s a play on the volcanic coffee island moniker as well as the fact that Java’s owner, Todd Rippo, is a guitarist living in Sun Valley that has jammed with the likes of Bruce Willis. The drink on Java’s menu called the Keith Richards — a quad-shot Mexican mocha — is born from Rippo’s actual experience rockin’ out with Keef. Founded in Ketchum in 1991, Java has six total locations, two of which are fixtures of the Boise coffee scene. The downtown spot opened in the mid 1990s, followed a few year later by a second location in Boise’s quaint Hyde Park neighborhood. Downtown, Java has high ceilings, Warhol on every wall, and is the only Java not nestled in a repurposed house. The Hyde Park location is a freestanding house with a spacious patio and porch, and an interior with couches and a hearth providing living-room coziness. Both offer full breakfast and lunch, with organic, Fair Trade coffee by San Diego roaster Café Moto.

Big City Coffee – 1416 W Grove St (map it)

big city coffee boise
Big City Coffee. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
Big City Coffee and Café is equal parts chow-house and coffeehouse. The tidiness of the shop’s façade and picnic-table sidewalk seating plays against the circus of old-timey signage exploding within, while in-house baked goods and a diner-style, all-day breakfast and lunch menu scores high marks with the locals. Its barn-like exposed wooden rafters and well-worn wooden furnishings are all country, though Big City Coffee is the go-to spot for a hot cup or capp in Boise’s thoroughly urban Linen District, as well as at the Boise Airport, where it recently established a presence. Big City’s coffees are roasted by Doma Coffee Roasting Company, the only Idaho roaster chosen as a finalist in the 2014 Good Food Awards. Doma also garners accolades for its beautiful packaging, part of its private label service for Big City’s retail packages, including Big City’s Joe Cans fundraising line, proceeds of which go to support breast cancer awareness and early detection efforts. Joe Cans include such feistily named offerings as the Big Titty Blend, Bra-zilian Brew, and Double D Decaf.

Janjou Patisserie – 1754 W State St (map it)

Janjou patisserie boise
Janjou Patisserie. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
The interior of Janjou Patisserie is almost defiantly precise and pristine, in Apple Store-like contrast to the rest of the town’s rustic, mountain-sporty aesthetic. Since 2008, the artisan boutique bakery has served delicately crafted pastries alongside traditional espresso drinks, including a faithful 6-ounce cappuccino and 4-ounce macchiato, which are rarities in this town. Their coffee is roasted by Lizzy’s Fresh Coffee, an outfit based in Ketchum, Idaho, a few hours east of Boise. (See the “Firestarters” column of the January/February 2012 issue of Roast Magazine for more on Lizzy’s founder and roaster Liz Roquet.)

Kahve Coffee – 5823 W Franklin Rd (map it)

kahve coffee daily coffee news
The Kahve Coffee sign, made by Boise artist Noel Webber. Photo by Howard Bryman for Daily Coffee News.
The Boise International Market is an exciting recent addition to Boise’s evolving culinary tapestry, with Kahve Coffee situated right up front. A coffee lover’s window to the world, Kahve might also be the closest thing Boise has to a multi-roaster café. Their Turkish comes from Turkey, their Arabic-style is made with coffee from Jordan, and their Cuban is, well, from Miami. For drip and espresso, Kahve serves fresh roasts from Full Circle Exchange, a non-profit social enterprise brand based in the neighboring city of Eagle, that is devoted to empowering women and lifting communities out of poverty through sustainable commerce. The gorgeous and intricately gilded glass “Coffee & Tea” sign hanging over Kahve was hand-made by legendary Boise sign artist Noel Weber over 30 years ago. The piece is so unique that Weber bought it back when its original home café shuttered, and it took a fair amount of convincing by Kahve to get Weber to part with it again. Or so the legend goes as told by Omid, the friendly and knowledgeable Kahve barista. In Persian, Omid’s name means “hope,” which makes him a fine representative of Boise’s budding coffee scene.

Lineup for the Barista Guild of Europe’s Inaugural CoLab Event in Prague

Prague city capitol
The Barista Guild of Europe has announced the speaking lineup for the inaugural CoLab event in Prague, which involves a day of educational content framed by two half days of exploring the city’s coffee scene.
CoLab is being hosted in collaboration with Coffee Embassy from May 21-23. The 22nd, the big education day, will include the following speakers:
The speaking lineup was coordinated in collaboration with Tamper Tantrum, the live and online lecture and discussion coordination and broadcasting project created by Colin Harmon and Steven Leighton. Incidentally, Harmon and Leighton have somewhat formalized Tamper Tantrum this year after five years of informally staging panel discussions, individual interviews, podcasts and speaking engagements on all things coffee. Harmon and Leighton have added World Coffee Events marketing manager Jen Rugolo to the team, and TT now boasts of being “one of the world’s premier platforms for coffee bickering, brainstorming, and live speaking engagements.”
After the Prague event, which costs guests €85, the BGE plans to host an additional 2015 CoLab in Paris, and it is seeking interest for partners for 2016 events in other cities. The group has more on the Prague program here. And if you want a head start, check out our guide to Prague coffee.

Πέμπτη 30 Απριλίου 2015

Made in Greece τα Coffee Island: Με άρωμα ''ελληνικού'' καφέ βάζουν ''πλώρη'' για Καναδά & Μεγάλη Βρετανία!

Το 2014, η Coffee Island κατάφερε να πετύχει στο έπακρο τους στόχους που είχε θέσει, ισχυροποιώντας την αναγνωσιμότητά της, αυξάνοντας το μερίδιο αγοράς, μέσω επέκτασης των καταστημάτων της, και θέτοντας παράλληλα γερές βάσεις στον τομέα της διοίκησης και της εσωτερικής οργάνωσης.

Το 2015 βρίσκει την Coffee Island με 65 νέα καταστήματα franchise, αριθμώντας πλέον το δίκτυό της σε 236 καταστήματα, με τα μελλοντικά πλάνα ανάπτυξης να αφορούν στην περαιτέρω ανάπτυξη στην Ελλάδα, αλλά και στο εξωτερικό, με άμεσους στόχους το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο και τον Καναδά.
Σε μεγαλύτερη επέκταση σε αγορές του εξωτερικού προσανατολίζεται η διοίκηση της ελληνικής Coffee Island για το 2015, αναζητώντας διεξόδους στις πιέσεις που ασκεί η οικονομική κρίση στις εγχώριες επιχειρήσεις.
Με παρουσία περίπου 15 χρόνων στην αγορά, η επιχείρηση γνωρίζει τα τελευταία χρόνια ουσιαστική ανάπτυξη υπό τον CEO, Κωνσταντίνο Κωνσταντινόπουλο, ξεκινώντας στα πρώτα του βήματα ως διευθυντής Παραγωγής. Τα πρώτα βήματα της σημερινής επιχείρησης γίνονται το 1999, στην Πάτρα, μετουσιώνοντας ένα παραδοσιακό καφεκοπτείο… σε μοντέρνα οπτική! Μια διαφορετική πρόταση που κατάφερε να πείσει από την πρώτη στιγμή όλους εκείνους που θεωρούν τον καφέ σοβαρή υπόθεση. Σύντομα, το πρώτο Coffee Island γίνεται αναπόσπαστο κομμάτι της γειτονιάς και της τοπικής κουλτούρας.

Το 2006 ιδρύεται η μονάδα παραγωγής για τη μεταποίηση του καφέ, επενδύοντας σε εξοπλισμό και τεχνογνωσία, κυρίως από την Ιταλία. Ενώ, λίγα χρόνια αργότερα, το 2009, αρχίζουν οι πρώτες επιχειρηματικές δραστηριότητες στο εξωτερικό, εγκαινιάζοντας το πρώτο κατάστημα Coffee Island στη Λευκωσία. Μέσα σε τρία χρόνια η επιχείρηση καταφέρνει να δημιουργήσει ένα ισχυρό δίκτυο καταστημάτων στην Κύπρο, το οποίο συνεχώς αναπτύσσεται αριθμώντας σήμερα 27 καταστήματα.
Το 2010 ανακαινίζονται πλήρως τα καταστήματα και εντάσσονται οι υπηρεσίες take away (Coffee on-the-go), υιοθετώντας το σημερινό concept που συνδυάζει τη ζεστασιά του παραδοσιακού καφεκοπτείου με τον αέρα και την αύρα ενός μοντέρνου espresso bar. Η συγκεκριμένη πρωτοποριακή στροφή στην πορεία των καταστημάτων ικανοποίησε τις σύγχρονες ανάγκες των πελατών της, καταξιώνοντας την στις συνειδήσεις των καταναλωτών.
Πριν από περίπου τρία χρόνια, το 2012, η εταιρεία δημιουργεί δύο υπερσύγχρονες μονάδες μεταποίησης και συσκευασίας καφέ στην Πάτρα και επεκτείνει τις υπάρχουσες αποθήκες της. Η επένδυση σε μηχανολογικό εξοπλισμό δίνει τη δυνατότητα να εξασφαλίσει τη μέγιστη ποιότητα στο πλαίσιο της δεδομένης αύξησης της παραγωγής, που προκύπτει από τη συνεχόμενη επέκταση του δικτύου των καταστημάτων της.

Σύμφωνα με τη διοίκηση, από την ίδρυση της μέχρι σήμερα, η Coffee Island δίνει την ευκαιρία στους λάτρεις του καφέ να απολαμβάνουν μία μεγάλη ποικιλία από νέα χαρμάνια αλλά και πλήθος χρηστικών αντικειμένων για την παρασκευή ενός γευστικού, άκρως ποιοτικού καφέ. Η ανταπόκριση του κοινού μεταφράζεται και σε αριθμούς, με την αλυσίδα να απαριθμεί πλέον 236 καταστήματα σε Ελλάδα και εξωτερικό.
Η διοίκηση της επιχείρησης θέτει νέους στόχους για την εξάπλωση του δικτύου Coffee Island στη Ρουμανία, πέραν του πρώτου καταστήματος που λειτουργεί ήδη από τον Αύγουστο του 2012 στην πόλη της Τιμισοάρα, καθώς επίσης και στην Αλβανία, τη Βουλγαρία, το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο, αλλά και σε μη ευρωπαϊκές χώρες, όπως ο Καναδάς.
Μάλιστα, ανταποκρινόμενη στο κάλεσμα των καταναλωτών και των συνεργατών της, υιοθετήθηκε μια νέα οπτική ταυτότητα (επανασχεδιασμός λογοτύπου και packaging), σύγχρονο επικοινωνιακό προφίλ και νέο αρχιτεκτονικό ύφος στα καταστήματα.

Ανάπτυξη...
Η μεγάλη «στροφή» στην πορεία της επιχείρησης έγινε τα τελευταία πέντε χρόνια, όταν αναδομήθηκε εξ ολοκλήρου, αλλάζοντας το ύφος των καταστημάτων της. Το 2012, ενάντια στην κρίση, η εταιρεία επενδύει σε καινούργιες εγκαταστάσεις και υπερσύχρονο μηχανολογικό εξοπλισμό, με στόχο να μειώσει το κόστος του τελικού προϊόντος και να βελτιώσει ακόμη περισσότερο την ποιότητα του, προσφέροντας ασφάλεια στο δίκτυο των καταστημάτων της.
Οι επενδύσεις σε πάγια, εγκαταστάσεις και εξοπλισμό, σε εκπαίδευση δικαιοδόχων και στελεχών της μητρικής εταιρείας, σε έρευνα και ανάπτυξη, καθώς επίσης και σε διαφημιστικά πλάνα δεν σταματούν ποτέ για μια εταιρεία που έχει στόχο να βελτιώνεται συνέχεια και να ξεπερνά τον εαυτό της. Το τμήμα Έρευνας και Ανάπτυξης εξετάζει την πρώτη ύλη, η οποία προέρχεται από την Κεντρική Αμερική, την Κένυα, την Αιθιοπία και την Ινδία. Στα ιδιόκτητα εργοστάσια στην Πάτρα γίνεται η επεξεργασία, όπου από τον ωμό κόκκο γίνεται το ψήσιμο και το χαρμάνιασμα.

SUCCESS STORY
  • Το 2006 δημιουργείται η μονάδα παραγωγής για τη μεταποίηση του καφέ, επενδύοντας σε εξοπλισμό και τεχνογνωσία, κυρίως από την Ιταλία.
  • Το 2009 ξεκίνησαν οι πρώτες δραστηριότητες στο εξωτερικό, εγκαινιάζοντας το πρώτο κατάστημα Coffee Island στη Λευκωσία.
  • Μέσα σε τρία χρόνια καταφέρνει να δημιουργήσει ένα ισχυρό δίκτυο καταστημάτων στην Κύπρο, το οποίο αναπτύσσεται συνεχώς.
  • Το 2010 ανακαινίζονται πλήρως τα καταστήματα, εντάσσοντας τις υπηρεσίες take away (Coffee on-the-go).
  • Το 2012 δημιουργούνται δύο υπερσύγχρονες μονάδες μεταποίησης και συσκευασίας καφέ στην Πάτρα, επεκτείνοντας παράλληλα τις υπάρχουσες αποθήκες.

Inside Counter Culture’s New Bay Area Roastery and Training Center

April 29, 2015 12:03 pm
Counter Culture Coffee Los Angeles Roastery Training Center
All photos by Christy Baugh, courtesy of Counter Culture Coffee
Counter Culture Coffee took a big step in its ongoing Westward expansion this past weekend with the opening of its new Bay Area roastery and training lab, a 12,000-plus square-foot facility at 1329 64th Street in Emeryville.
It is the importer and roaster’s ninth regional training center (Durham, Asheville, Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, New York, Philadelphia and Washington D.C.), and Counter Culture plans two open additional training centers later this year in Charleston, S.C., and Los Angeles.
The West Coast coffee operations will be coordinated with those at the Durham headquarters, as well as those at other regional training centers. The Bay Area roastery is the company’s first outside of Durham. (See more from our interview last July with CC West Coast Coffee Analyst Katie Carguilo.)
We’ll have more on CC’s growth plans as they develop. For now, here’s more from inside the new Emeryville center:
Counter Culture Coffee Los Angeles Roastery Training Center

La Spaziale Unveiling Top-of-Line S40 Suprema Next Month in Milan

la spaziale espresso machine
The La Spaziale S40 Suprema
Bologna, Italy-based La Spaziale is launching the S40 Suprema espresso machine, which is being pitched as a more automated and barista-friendly alternative to its other top-of-the-line model, the S40 Selectron.
La Spaziale says the Suprema provides numerous technically advanced features that make the machine more practical for use in high-volume applications, while maintaining the aesthetic and many of the same quality controls as the Selectron and other models in the S40 line.
The company is debuting the Suprema at the upcoming TuttoFood 2015 show in Milan.
Available in 2-to-4-group models, the Suprema includes La Spaziale’s electric coffee grounds system (EGS), which maintains humidity levels within the portafilter. Other key features include LED lighting in the drip tray, and programming of scheduled, standard maintenance, of which operators are notified through the S40’s large, bright LED displays.
La Spaziale S40 Suprema espresso machine
There is also independent temperature control for each group and an advanced machine temperature controls, including a temporary boost function, all of which are easily accessed through a main LED display or individual displays above the group heads.
Optional features include an adjustable automatic milk frothing system, as well as a soft varnish exterior finish.
Here are some more features, straight from La Spaziale:
  • Electronic coffee machine with automatic dose setting.
  • Electronic boiler temperature control.
  • Boiler temperature visualization on led display.
  • Visualization of extraction time on led display for each group.
  • Individual temperature control for each delivery group (ITC).
  • EGS Function (Electronic Coffee Grounds System).
  • Operating temperature temporary boost function (UP function).
  • Visualization and control system of water level in the boiler.
  • Preset hot water delivery for infusions with adjustable temperature.
  • Led lights for drip tray grid.
  • Total coffee counter function.
  • Electric cup warmer with consistent temperature control.

Τετάρτη 29 Απριλίου 2015

Coffee Price: Latest Price & Chart for Coffee - NASDAQ.com

Coffee Price: Latest Price & Chart for Coffee - NASDAQ.com

First Global Study on Climate Change and Arabica Predicts ‘Severe Losses’

April 
coffee plant climate change
2011 Creative Commons photo by Neil Palmer for CIAT.
Arabica coffees will have to be grown at higher elevations in almost all the world’s producing regions to survive the projected effects of climate change by 2050, according to a the first global study of its kind, which is being made public by the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT).
Researchers suggest severe losses in global arabica production are imminent if coffee growing doesn’t shift toward higher elevations in many countries. Such a shift, by virtue of limited land availability, hurt many of the world’s key growing regions, particularly in parts of Mesoamerica and Asia. Conversely, increases and temperature and rainfall could add some suitable coffee-growing land in specific areas, particularly some close to the equator in South America.
“Major producers — Brazil, Vietnam, Indonesia and Colombia — together producing 65 percent of the global market share — are set to experience severe losses if adaptation measures are not taken,” CIAT said in response to the published results.
The study suggests that Brazil, by far the world’s largest producer, could face losses of up to 25 percent if adaptation measures are not taken. “Brazil’s highly mechanized, commercial coffee production is not suitable for intercropping with trees, which could provide shade and bring temperatures down,” said study co-author Dr. Peter Läderach. “That could mean shifting production east — from Central America to eastern Africa and the Asia-Pacific, if strategies are not put in place to adapt.”
The research was funded by CIAT’s CGIAR program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, although CIAT says the program played no part in the design or analysis of the study. The study follows numerous regional studies that have yielded similar projections for the future of arabica coffee.
Researchers based the 2050 climate change projections using 21 global circulation models and 62,000 specific location points, suggesting that in many locations, 2 degree celsius increases in temperature and increases in weather events such as rain can be expected. Generally, the study globally predicts decreases in climatic suitability at lower altitudes and higher latitudes.
Here is some regional and global analysis directly from the study (CIAT plans to eventually release the raw data here).
All the coffee-producing countries in America, Africa, Asia, and Oceania would maintain some suitability for growing Arabica coffee. Colombia, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Mexico, and Guatemala have extensive areas of land at high elevation that receive sufficient rainfall. An upward move of their coffee-growing areas could moderate the overall impact of climate change on their countries’ coffee industry. An important proviso is that the areas at higher elevation are available for conversion to coffee farms, are accessible, have suitable soil conditions, and whose current or future inhabitants are willing to grow Arabica coffee rather than other crops. Very often, these conditions may not all come together, with the consequence that Arabica coffee production may locally decline.
The regions where Arabica coffee would be least affected by higher temperatures are East Africa with the exception of Uganda and Papua New Guinea in the Pacific. Mesoamerica would be the most affected region, specifically Nicaragua and El Salvador. Since Arabica coffee is an important export of Mesoamerica, we expect severe economic impacts here. As previously suggested by Zullo, strongly negative effects of climate change are also expected in Brazil the world’s largest Arabica producer, as well as India and Indochina. Regions predicted to suffer intermediate impacts include the Andes, parts of southern Africa and Madagascar, and Indonesia, with significant differences among islands.
Click here for access to the complete study.

Russian Federation Joins International Coffee Association as Consumption Rises

April
russian coffee
A Moscow location of the Russian cafe chain “Shokoladnitsa”
The Russian Federation has become the seventh importing member of the International Coffee Organization, the ICO announced earlier this week.
Russia joins the European Union, the United States, Norway, Switzerland, Tunisia and Turkey as ICO members under the International Coffee Agreement, last formalized in 2007.
The 33-year-old ICO was created by the United Nations with the first International Coffee Agreement in 1962. While the group no longer oversees export quotas designed to stabilize the market, it is nonetheless a leading source for current and historic market data, and a leading body for intergovernmental collaboration, including its annual Consultative Forum on Coffee Sector Finance.
Including the Russian Federation, ICO member governments now represent 95 percent of world coffee production and 78 percent of world consumption.
“The Russian Federation has been an official Observer of the ICO’s meetings for several years and I have personally been engaged in talks with senior officials regarding its accession,” ICO Executive Director Robério Oliveira Silva said in a prepared announcement. “As one of the top coffee consuming countries in the world, we believe the Russian Federation is well positioned to work with ICO Members on the promotion of the coffee sector worldwide and to tackle the challenges we face.”
According to the ICO, the Russian Federation consumed 4 million bags in 2014, with an average per capita consumption rate of 1.7kilograms. Since 2000, coffee consumption in the country has doubled, while growing at an estimated 3 percent annually over the past four years.

Παρασκευή 17 Απριλίου 2015

Coffee, sugar price forecasts slashed up to 31 percent as Brazil real falls

(Reuters) - Banks including Goldman Sachs and Citi have slashed their forecasts for coffee and sugar prices by as much as 31 percent in the past month as the value of Brazil's real currency slumped to its lowest in 12 years.
With sugar prices now languishing near the lowest levels in more than six years below 13 cents per lb, six banks are now forecasting an average of second-quarter prices of around 13.6 cents per lb, down about three cents from earlier forecasts, according to data collected by Reuters. Rabobank's forecast was the most bearish at 12.5 cents.
In arabica coffee, the average estimate fell to $1.52 per lb from $1.90, the data show. Citi cut its second quarter forecast by 31 percent, the most of any bank surveyed, but still held the most bullish third-quarter forecast at $1.75 per lb.
A leading cause of the downward revision has been the tumbling real in Brazil, the world's biggest producer of both commodities. It fell nearly 30 percent against the dollar between late January and March 20, when it reached a 12-year low due to the greenback's strength and also growing political uncertainty stemming from a corruption scandal at state-run oil company Petrobras.
"A rising dollar generally reduces global demand for dollar-denominated commodities, while a weakening Brazilian real significantly encourages exports, boosting global inventories," wrote Societe Generale in an April 7 report.
Several banks also pointed to abundant global sugar supplies as a source of nearby price pressure.
The weak currency attracted heavy exporter and producer selling in Brazil.
"Brazilian real weakness continues to reduce domestic sugar production costs in U.S. dollar terms, pressuring the ICE No. 11 (sugar) and prompting a downward revision in our price forecast, while supply-side risks remain at bay," wrote Rabobank in its March report.
While the benchmark coffee contract price fell 24 percent from the end of 2014 to the lowest level in more than one year in dollars, making it the second-weakest performer on the 19-market Thomson Reuters CoreCommodity Index, it only fell 9 percent in reais. What was an 18 percent fall in sugar futures to the lowest in more than six years in the U.S. currency was a mere 1 percent drop in reais.

This Retail Price Index for High-End Roasted Coffee is Incredibly Interesting

April 16, 2015 4:20 pm
Transparent trade coffee
The Transparent Trade Coffee mark.
A team at Emory University’s Goizueta Business School has been putting together a retail price index for largely directly traded, single-origin roasted coffees in the United States and Canada. The index turns traditional price indicators on their heads by pitching roasted coffee retail prices, rather than green coffee prices, as a benchmark.
The work is part of the Social Enterprise @ Goizueta program, which explores how business acumen and market-based solutions can have the ability to “achieve meaningful and enduring societal impacts.” It also raises some seriously interesting questions about pricing yardsticks among many businesses who are buying and roasting at the industry’s upper echelons.
Before we get into the index itself, some explication of methodology may be in order.

Transparent Coffee Registry

SE@G has named the coffee-specific project Transparent Trade Coffee. The work being done under that name is on two main fronts. First is the Specialty Coffee Retail Price Index (SCRPI), but the group is also keeping a registry of roasters who demonstrate, with documentation, FOB prices paid for specific coffees (to this point, only Farmers to 40, Bird Rock Coffee Roasters and Counter Culture Coffee are listed). That initiative follows these principles:
Coffee producers are primarily responsible for the excellent coffees that we drink. This is why more and more specialty coffee markets are recognizing and celebrating the many contributions of these producers. However, the current structure of global coffee markets is such that these producers have a hard time being adequately compensated for the work that they do on their farms and in their communities.
It is time to clearly and succinctly inform coffee consumers about the economic treatment of coffee producers. To accomplish this goal, Transparent Trade Coffee provides:
  • A forum for direct trade roasters that are genuinely committed to transparency in their dealings with coffee producers, and;
  • A simple communication vehicle so that consumers can — at the time of purchase — know how much of their coffee dollars are going back to producers.
As a caveat, the group acknowledges that FOB prices are only a small part of the economic sustainability story in specialty coffee, but it says that “a clear articulation of the effective share of retail prices that is going to producers” can be an effective “launching point.”

Specialty Coffee Retail Index

Now, back to the retail price index, which the group says was designed to track retail prices among “blue chip” roasters in North America. TheSE@G team is currently tracking the prices of bagged, whole bean coffee from 58 roasters (60 is the target number). Here’s more from SE@G on what kind of market segment the SCRPI is representing:
We focus on roasters whose coffees receive the lion’s share of attention from Coffee Review, and those who receive many of the Good Food Awards and Roast Magazine (Roaster of the Year) Awards. To capture both ends of the specialty coffee market, we visit the website of each Index roaster quarterly and record information about their lowest- and highest-priced coffees; ignoring the very high-priced Blue Mountain, Kona, Geisha/Esmeralda and Civet/Kopi Luwak coffees.
Coming from an academic center inside a business school, the resulting index is not necessarily designed as a resource for industry. SE@G is presenting it more as a foil to traditional price points and indicators, such as Fair Trade minimums and the International Coffee Organization composite indicator for commodity coffees. The group seems to be suggesting there is some value in simply juxtaposing these numbers. (For example, there may be some important questions raised in the minds of consumers when a bag of roasted coffee marked as “direct trade” sells for $22 per pound, while the ICO’s composite indicator for green coffee currently sits at $1.27 per pound.)
Of course, such a comparison is deeply convoluted, but “launching points” into the supply sustainability conversation are of benefit to all.

Πέμπτη 2 Απριλίου 2015

Numerous 2016 World Coffee Competition Events Heading to Shanghai, China

April 1, 2015 11:08 am
world coffee events
The 2014 WCE All-Stars Event in Shanghai. Photo by WCE.
Dublin-based World Coffee Events has announced that the World Coffee Roasting Championship, the World Cup Tasters Championship, the World Latte Art Championship and the World Coffee in Good Spirits Championship will all take place in Shanghai, China, in 2016.
The competition events will be part of the Hotelex show, running from March 29 to April 1, 2016. For 2015, all those events are currently scheduled as par of the World of Coffee show in Gothenburg, Sweden. The 2015 World Barista Championship is taking place in conjunction with the SCAA Event in Seattle next week, while 2016 WBC and World Brewers Cup events will be at World of Coffee 2016 in Dublin.
The Hotelex show is a massive event, open to product and service providers throughout the hospitality food and drink sectors.
“WCE feels strongly that these events will prove a major success in China with the support of the local specialty coffee community,” World Coffee Events Managing Director Cindy Ludviksen said in an announcement released yesterday.

Τετάρτη 1 Απριλίου 2015

Μαλακά εμπορεύματα παρακολουθήσετε: ριμπάουντ στην τιμή της ζάχαρης από χαμηλότερα επίπεδα έξι ετών

Έχουν μαλακή μελλοντικής εκπλήρωσης εμπορευμάτων έχουν συναλλαγών μικτή μέχρι στιγμής στη σημερινή συνεδρίαση με ακατέργαστη ζάχαρη ανακάμπτοντας από μια νέα χαμηλότερα επίπεδα έξι ετών μετά σύρθηκε κάτω από κερδοσκοπικές συναλλαγές. Κακάο άλλαζε χέρια στο χαμηλότερο επίπεδο μέσα σε επτά εβδομάδες, ζυγίζονται από τις ευνοϊκές συνθήκες φύτευσης πριν από την έναρξη της Δυτικής Αφρικής μέσα καλλιέργειες.
ICE futures Πρώτες ζάχαρη για το διακανονισμό Μάιο αυξήθηκε 0,38 τοις εκατό σε 12,01 σεντς ανά λίμπρα στο χρηματιστήριο ICE, από 13:25 BST. Η σύμβαση έχει ανέκαμψε από το χαμηλό συνεδρία 11,91 σεντ χτύπησε στην προηγούμενη διαπραγμάτευση, ασθενέστερο επίπεδο από τον Ιανουάριο του 2009. Reuters ανέφερε μια έμπορος εμπορεύματα όπως λέγοντας:
"Είναι πώλησης κερδοσκόπος. Οι προδιαγραφές έχουν πήρε από την αγορά στο τρέξιμο». Κατά την άποψή του, οι τιμές ήταν πολύ χαμηλές για να προσελκύσουν προσφορές των ινδικών εξαγωγών ακατέργαστης ζάχαρης στην αγορά. Επιτέλους έλεγχο, το Μάιο λευκή ζάχαρη ήταν 0,05 τοις εκατό σε $ 357.700 ανά τόνο, όχι πολύ μακριά από τη σύμβαση χαμηλό των $ 357.300 έπληξε νωρίτερα σήμερα.
Συμβολαίων μελλοντικής εκπλήρωσης καφέ Arabica ανέβηκε, εδραιώνοντας μετά από τέσσερα τοις εκατό πτώση κατά τη διάρκεια της προηγούμενης συνόδου στο πίσω μέρος του ράλι του δολαρίου των ΗΠΑ. Συμβολαίων μελλοντικής εκπλήρωσης Arabica για παράδοση Μαΐου είχε κερδίσει 1,19 τοις εκατό σε 1,3375 δολάρια ανά λίβρα, πάνω από το 13 μηνών χαμηλό των 1,2875 δολαρίων ανά λίβρα που είχε επιτευχθεί νωρίτερα τον Μάρτιο. Μαΐου καφέ Robusta ήταν κάτω από $ 11 ή 0,64 τοις εκατό σε $ 1.711 ανά τόνο.
Κακάο για παράδοση Μαΐου υποχώρησε έως £ 6 σε £ 1,897.00 ανά τόνο στο Λονδίνο, ενώ το σημείο αναφοράς των ΗΠΑ ήταν 0,45 τοις εκατό σε $ 2,694.50. Εμπόρους Κακάο ισχυρίστηκε ότι οι ευνοϊκές καιρικές συνθήκες της Δυτικής Αφρικής αναπτυσσόμενες περιοχές οδηγούσαν σε ευοίωνες προβλέψεις για τα μέσα καλλιέργειες, βάρους στις τιμές.
Σε futures σιτηρών, των ΗΠΑ σιτάρι έπεσε από μια εβδομάδα υψηλό των 531,13 δολαρίων, έφτασε νωρίτερα σήμερα. Η σύμβαση έδωσε πίσω τα προηγούμενα κέρδη του και η υποστήριξη από ξηρασία και η άνοδος της θερμοκρασίας σε ορισμένα μέρη της ζώνης σιτηρών των ΗΠΑ, η οποία απείλησε να περιορίσει τις αποδόσεις των καλλιεργειών χειμώνα, αντισταθμίστηκε από τη δύναμη του δολαρίου των ΗΠΑ. Futures σιταριού για παράδοση το Μάιο σχετικά με την Chicago Board of Trade μειώθηκε 0,87 τοις εκατό σε 5,2538 δολάρια ανά μπούσελ. Το εμπόρευμα αναρριχήθηκε 4,4 τοις εκατό κατά τη διάρκεια της προηγούμενης συνόδου.
Εν τω μεταξύ, οι τιμές του αραβοσίτου μειώθηκαν κατά σχεδόν δύο σεντς, ή 0,48 τοις εκατό, σε $ 3.911 ανά μπούσελ. Το εμπόρευμα κινητοποιήθηκαν τρία σεντς χθες, αλλά παραμένει υπό πίεση μέσα σε μεγάλα αποθέματα και χαμηλή ζήτηση για φορτία των ΗΠΑ.
Τις τιμές της σόγιας έχουν άκρες προς τα κάτω στο εμπόριο κοντά στα χαμηλότερα επίπεδα τους από τις 20 Μαρτίου, πιέζονται από την προοπτική υψηλότερων φύτευση στις ΗΠΑ. Μάιος σόγια είχε χάσει 0,37 τοις εκατό σε $ 9.633 ανά μπούσελ από 13:44 BST. Τα γεωργικά εμπορεύματα έμποροι περιμένουν την απελευθέρωση της έκθεσης υποψήφιους φυτεύσεων από το Υπουργείο Γεωργίας των ΗΠΑ, που οφείλεται στις 17:00 BST, για περαιτέρω ενδείξεις σχετικά με τις κινήσεις της αγοράς.

Inside Roast Magazine: Roast Profile Development, Kenyan Quality and Flavor Communication


The March/April 2015 issue of Roast Magazine is now shipping. If you’re not yet a Roast subscriber, become one here.
Below are previews of three of this issue’s feature stories, including a roast development study by Coffee Analysts, an exploration of Kenyan quality factors by Matt Daks, and a piece by Chris Ryan on how the communication of flavor is transforming the supply chain.
Read. Learn. Enjoy. Subscribe.

A STUDY IN ROAST LEVELS

Comparing and Contrasting Two Coffees Roasted to Five Different Levels

Story and Photos by Coffee Analysts’ Staff
3_roast_levels
Roast profile development is both an art and a science. Determining what is best for each coffee is a difficult challenge — best blend, best roast level, best brewing method, and so on. Knowing what attributes you prefer is easy; however, when developing products to sell, predicting what customers will like is more difficult. While marketing managers and consumer insight professionals have protocols for determining consumer preferences and purchase intent, coffee roasters and product developers must conduct their own technical analysis when developing new products and optimizing existing ones.
The first step is to identify success criteria: What is good, what is not good, how will the coffee be evaluated, and, perhaps most importantly, to what will the coffee be compared? Product development has two important functions: creating a product that meets the quality and profile expectations of the company, and developing a product that will be purchased and enjoyed by consumers. Ultimately, the true measure of any coffee program is beverage quality—how does it taste? Branding, promotion and merchandising will capture the first sale, but only consistent quality will keep your customers returning time after time.

TO MARKET, TO MARKET

How the Kenyan Coffee Marketing System Supports Exceptional Coffee

Story and photos by Matt Daks
2_kenya
Poll your closest coffee-buyer friends. Odds are, a majority will tell you their favorite place to buy green coffee, or their favorite origin to drink, is Kenya. There are several critical control points that enable Kenyan coffees to hold such a revered place in the hearts, minds and stocks of the professional coffee community.
The most obvious of these critical controls lies in the land itself. Sitting directly on the equator, Kenya enjoys ideal seasonality for coffee growing, with well-defined rainy and dry periods. Much of the nation’s coffee production is centered on the stratovolcano Mount Kenya, whose soils are rich loams primed for drainage and nutrient uptake. Small-holder plantations reach 1,800 meters above sea level and higher. This remarkable altitude provides ideal climatic conditions. Cool, clear mornings are met with the strength of the equatorial sun, which quickly raises temperatures and helps create cloud cover just above the coffee regions. As temperatures rise, cloud cover helps protect the coffee from the intensity of direct sunlight. By evening, the cloud cover is whisked away and temperatures drop quickly, slowing the maturation of fruit on the tree. The sun rises each day at 6:15 a.m. and begins to set at 6:30 p.m.

DO YOU TASTE WHAT I TASTE?

Improved Communication Around Flavor Is Transforming the Supply Chain

by Chris Ryan
3_taste
David Roche remembers one of the first moments he noticed the landscape shifting. The year was 2006, and the Coffee Quality Institute (CQI) had been administering its Q Grader certification courses in Colombia’s Cauca department. Coffee farmers from a cooperative in Popayán had gotten wind of the courses and had begun dropping in to sample specialty-caliber coffee — a far cry from what they normally consumed.
“Like many coffee farmers, they would drink their lower-grade coffee and dump sugar in it,” says Roche, who is now CQI’s executive director. The learning process had started to pay off, and farmers were identifying the attributes present in specialty coffee. On that particular visit, one of the farmers said to Roche, “I don’t put sugar in my coffee because my coffee is already sweet.”
To Roche, it was an epiphany.

Colombia coffee growers demand financial help as prices slide

By Peter Murphy
BOGOTA, March 31 (Reuters) – Colombia’s coffee growers are requesting government cash to help cover rising costs after a recent sharp fall in the price of arabica beans, a growers’ representative said on Monday, as discontent resurfaces across Colombia’s farm sector.
The Dignidad Cafetera movement, which led protests by coffee growers in 2013, wants the government to pay out 850 billion pesos ($327 million) of subsidies not disbursed last year after arabica prices shot above an agreed subsidy cut-off rate.
Coffee growers met with two congressmen on Monday to discuss their financial difficulties after a 17 percent slide in arabica prices and to demand left-over subsidy cash be channeled into a fund that would top up farmer incomes when prices fall low enough.
“We are demanding that these 850 billion pesos are returned to create a stabilization fund to compensate for production costs,” said Alonso Suarez, Dignidad Cafetera spokesman for Antioquia, one of Colombia’s biggest coffee regions.
Suarez said the movement would also seek a meeting with Agriculture Minister Aurelio Iragorri to discuss their demands and said a repeat of protests in 2013, in which farmers blocked roads and refused to sell beans, was a “last option.”
Colombia is the world’s top producer of mild, washed arabicas.
The government is unlikely to be as receptive to requests for funds as it was two years ago. Its coffers have been shrunken by last year’s plunge in oil prices last year that prompted a hasty tax reform to ensure it could still pay bills.
The dip in international prices for coffee has been offset by a weaker peso, which has lost more than a fifth of its value versus the dollar in a year and hit its weakest level since 2006 on Monday. But that also raises the cost of imports like fertilizer.
The farmer-funded National Coffee Growers’ Federation was not involved in Monday’s meeting, which included representatives from other agriculture sectors including cocoa, rice and plantain, who are also seeking government intervention.
Arabica prices have plunged after fears subsided that world top coffee grower Brazil would face a shrunken, weather-hit crop for a second year in a row after rains recently ended a harsh dry spell and due to the weakening of the Brazilian currency.

Roasting Lupine as Coffee Substitute: An Informal How-To

March 31, 2015 3:49 pm
roasted lupine
The seed inside the hard shell of a roasted lupine bean. Photo by Frans Goddijn.
As part of a test project for HKU University of the Arts in The Netherlands involving potential food uses for sweet lupine beans, two young food and product designers recently visited Roast Magazine friend and obsessive tinkerer Frans Goddijn.
The plan: roast, grind and brew some sweet lupine beans and see what happens. The experiment was part of the LupinFood project, led by Johanna Lundberg of Sweden and Lydeke Bosch of The Netherlands.
lupine beans.
Unroasted sweet lupine beans. Photo courtesy of LupinFood.eu
Inside Goddijn’s workshop, the sweet, edible lupine beans — not to be confused with other varieties of lupine beans that can present a threat of alkaloid poisoning when consumed — were roasted an a Fracino Roastilino roaster. While not common, roasting lupine is certainly not unprecedented, and Goddijn was able to find some basic information about roast temperatures as a starting point.
The roast the yielded the best results, says Goddijn, is presented here, through open-source software Artisan:
lupine_roast_profile
Once the lupine beans were roasted, the inner seeds bore a remarkable resemblance to coffee in shape and color.
From there, Goddijn learned a lesson the hard way: lupine seeds and conical burr grinders do not mix.  “I now understand better why some grinder manufacturers explicitly state that their grinder should only be used to grind roasted coffee beans,” says Goddijn, who had to buy replacement burrs after his grinder began producing inconsistent results following the experiment.
Back at HKU, Lundberg and Bosch led a tasting with fellow graduate students, and Goddijn shares with us the following results:
The light roast smelled and tasted like peanut butter but the darkest roast was found sweet and pleasant. The Aeropress was the most convenient method.
While the results seem promising, we’re still a ways off from launching Daily Lupine News.
For more on Goddijn’s coffee-focused experimentation, follow his Kostverlorenvaart blog.
lupine coffee substitute

Πέμπτη 26 Μαρτίου 2015

Coffee prices rise, as FCStone sees drop in Brazil's output-------Οι τιμές του καφέ αυξάνεται, καθώς FCStone βλέπει πτώση της παραγωγής της Βραζιλίας


Coffee prices rose as INTL FCStone entered the debate over the Brazilian coffee harvest, the world's biggest, by foreseeing a drop in production this year.
The US-based group pegged Brazil's overall coffee output this year at 44m-45.5m bags.
The figure is a little more generous than that implied by an outline forecast in October, when FCStone's CoffeeNetwork coffee analysis arm foresaw a drop of some 15% in production this year, equivalent to roughly 7m bags.
However, it does lave FCStone among the commentators forecasting a drop in Brazilian coffee output, from a 2014 level it pegs at 48m-49m bags.
Tricky forecast
Potential for Brazil's coffee harvest this year remains shrouded in doubt, thanks to the prolonged 2014 drought which hurt potential not only for that year's harvest but the 2015 crop too.
The coffee bean growth cycle is a complex one, starting with the growth of vegetation the previous year that will bear the cherries, and going through the weather-sensitive blossoming and flower-setting processes, before reaching the grain-fill stage.
Rains this year have eased concerns somewhat over the extent of damage, prompting a rising tide of production estimates which fuelled a slump of nearly one-quarter in arabica coffee futures in 2015 up to March 3, when the front contract hit a one-year low.
Volcafe in mid-February forecast a Brazilian harvest this year of 49.5m bags, up 2.5m bags on its estimates, while crop trader Olam International pegged the crop at about 50m bags.
However, some more recent estimates have been more downbeat, with analysis group Procafé two weeks ago pegging Brazil's production this year at 40.3m-43.25m bags, while coffee trader Neumann last week estimated the harvest at 45.3m bags, a drop of 2.6m bags year on year on its estimates.
"Trade has now seen Brazil production estimates that range from about 40m-50m bags, and no-one knows what to expect once the harvest gets underway in a month or two," said Jack Scoville at broker Price Futures on Wednesday.
Arabica vs robusta
FCStone in fact highlighted the prospect of a "larger-than-expected" drop in Brazilian production of robusta beans this year, after recent dryness in Espirito Santo, the top growing state for the variety, which was relatively untouched by last year's drought.
Robusta output was seen dropping to 11.5m-12m bags.
The arabica crop was seen at 32.5m-33.5m bags.
However, FCStone acknowledged the uncertainty over this year's prospects, flagging a "need for further analysis of field assessments in the weeks to come in order to provide better quantification of the expected volumes to be produced".
Arabica coffee futures for May stood 2.2% higher at 140.25 cents a pound in morning deals in New York.
Robusta coffee for May was up 0.1% at $1,820 a tonne in London.


Οι τιμές του καφέ αυξήθηκε ως INTL FCStone άρχισε η συζήτηση επί της Βραζιλίας συγκομιδή του καφέ, του παγκοσμίως μεγαλύτερους, προβλέποντας μείωση της παραγωγής αυτό το έτος.
Η ομάδα που εδρεύει στις ΗΠΑ καθηλωθεί συνολική παραγωγή καφέ Βραζιλίας φέτος σε σακούλες 44m-45.5m.
Το ποσοστό αυτό είναι λίγο πιο γενναιόδωρο από αυτό που διαφαίνεται από τις προβλέψεις περίγραμμα, τον Οκτώβριο, όταν ο βραχίονας ανάλυση CoffeeNetwork καφέ FCStone που προέβλεπε μείωση της τάξης του 15% στην παραγωγή του τρέχοντος έτους, που ισοδυναμεί με περίπου 7 εκατ σακούλες.
Ωστόσο, αυτό δεν λαβέ FCStone τους σχολιαστές πρόβλεψη πτώση στη βραζιλιάνικη παραγωγή του καφέ, από ένα επίπεδο 2014 μανταλάκια σε σακούλες 48m-49m.
Tricky πρόβλεψη
Δυναμικό για την συγκομιδή του καφέ Βραζιλίας φέτος παραμένει τυλιγμένη σε αμφιβολία, χάρη στην παρατεταμένη ξηρασία του 2014, που βλάπτει δυνατότητα όχι μόνο για την συγκομιδή του ιδίου έτους, αλλά το 2015 καλλιεργειών πάρα πολύ.
Ο κύκλος ανάπτυξης κόκκος του καφέ είναι ένα πολύπλοκο, αρχίζοντας με την ανάπτυξη της βλάστησης το προηγούμενο έτος που θα φέρει τα κεράσια, και να περάσει από την άνθηση και λουλούδι διαδικασίες καθορισμού των καιρικών ευαίσθητο, πριν φτάσει στο στάδιο των σιτηρών πλήρωσης.
Βρέχει φέτος έχουν χαλαρώσει κάπως τις ανησυχίες για την έκταση των ζημιών, με αποτέλεσμα ένα αυξανόμενο κύμα των εκτιμήσεων παραγωγής που τροφοδότησε μια πτώση σχεδόν το ένα τέταρτο των συμβολαίων μελλοντικής εκπλήρωσης του καφέ arabica το 2015 έως 3 Μαρτίου, όταν το μπροστινό σύμβαση χτύπησε ενός έτους χαμηλή .
Volcafe στα μέσα Φεβρουαρίου προέβλεπε Βραζιλίας συγκομιδή του τρέχοντος έτους των 49.5m τσάντες, μέχρι 2.5m σακούλες για τις εκτιμήσεις της, ενώ η καλλιέργεια έμπορος Olam Διεθνές συνδέσει το καλλιεργειών σε περίπου 50 σακούλες.
Ωστόσο, κάποιες πιο πρόσφατες εκτιμήσεις ήταν πιο υποτονική, με την ομάδα ανάλυσης Procafé πριν από δύο εβδομάδες πρόσδεση της παραγωγής στη Βραζιλία φέτος σε σακούλες 40.3m-43.25m, ενώ έμπορος καφέ Neumann την περασμένη εβδομάδα εκτίμησε την συγκομιδή σε 45.3m τσάντες, μια σταγόνα 2,6 τσάντες από έτος σε έτος σε εκτιμήσεις του.
«Το εμπόριο έχει πλέον δει Βραζιλία εκτιμήσεις παραγωγής που κυμαίνονται από περίπου σακούλες 40μ-50μ, και κανείς δεν ξέρει τι να περιμένει τη στιγμή που η συγκομιδή ξεκινάει σε ένα μήνα ή δύο," είπε ο Τζακ Scoville στο μεσίτη προθεσμιακή τιμή την Τετάρτη.
Arabica vs robusta
FCStone στην πραγματικότητα υπογράμμισε την προοπτική μιας «μεγαλύτερης από το αναμενόμενο" πτώση της παραγωγής της Βραζιλίας φασόλια robusta φέτος, μετά την πρόσφατη ξηρότητα στο Espirito Santo, στην κορυφή αναπτυσσόμενη κατάσταση για την ποικιλία, το οποίο ήταν σχετικά ανέγγιχτη από την ξηρασία του περασμένου έτους.
Εξόδου Robusta παρατηρήθηκε πτώση σε σακούλες 11,5-12m.
Η καλλιέργεια Arabica παρατηρήθηκε σε σακούλες 32,5-33.5m.
Ωστόσο, FCStone αναγνώρισε την αβεβαιότητα για τις προοπτικές της φετινής χρονιάς, εξασθένηση μια «ανάγκη για περαιτέρω ανάλυση των επιτόπιων αξιολογήσεων στις προσεχείς εβδομάδες προκειμένου να παρέχουν καλύτερη ποσοτικοποίηση των αναμενόμενων όγκων που παράγονται".
Συμβολαίων μελλοντικής εκπλήρωσης καφές Arabica, για το μήνα Μάιο διαμορφώθηκε 2,2% υψηλότερα στις 140,25 σεντς ανά λίβρα το πρωί προσφορές σε Νέα Υόρκη.
Καφέ Robusta για το μήνα Μάιο ήταν 0,1% στα 1.820 δολάρια ανά τόνο στο Λονδίνο.